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期刊论文 7

年份

2022 3

2017 1

2016 1

2004 1

2003 1

关键词

三星一线 1

内外因耦合 1

博弈;多智能体系统;多智能体演化博弈;预警探测 1

多智能体;博弈论;集体智能;强化学习;智能控制 1

应急救援预案 1

引潮力共振 1

环境安全 1

环境灾害 1

突发性特大自然灾害 1

系列观测实验 1

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Impact of household transitions on domestic energy consumption and its applicability to urban energy planning

Benachir MEDJDOUB, Moulay Larbi CHALAL

《工程管理前沿(英文)》 2017年 第4卷 第2期   页码 171-183 doi: 10.15302/J-FEM-2017029

摘要: The household sector consumes roughly 30% of Earth’s energy resources and emits approximately 17% of its carbon dioxide. As such, developing appropriate policies to reduce the CO emissions, which are associated with the world’s rapidly growing urban population, is a high priority. This, in turn, will enable the creation of cities that respect the natural environment and the well-being of future generations. However, most of the existing expertise focuses on enhancing the thermal quality of buildings through building physics while few studies address the social and behavioral aspects. In fact, focusing on these aspects should be more prominent, as they cause between 4% and 30% of variation in domestic energy consumption. Premised on that, the aim of this study was to investigate the effect in the context of the UK of household transitions on household energy consumption patterns. To achieve this, we applied statistical procedures (e.g., logistic regression) to official panel survey data comprising more than 5500 households in the UK tracked annually over the course of 18 years. This helped in predicting future transition patterns for different household types for the next 10 to 15 years. Furthermore, it enabled us to study the relationship between the predicted patterns and the household energy usage for both gas and electricity. The findings indicate that the life cycle transitions of a household significantly influence its domestic energy usage. However, this effect is mostly positive in direction and weak in magnitude. Finally, we present our developed urban energy model “EvoEnergy” to demonstrate the importance of incorporating such a concept in energy forecasting for effective sustainable energy decision-making.

关键词: urban energy planning     household transitions     smart cities     energy forecasting     household projection     serious gaming    

Endemicity of H9N2 and H5N1 avian influenza viruses in poultry in China poses a serious threat to poultry

Jiao HU,Xiufan LIU

《农业科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2016年 第3卷 第1期   页码 11-24 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2016092

摘要: The H9N2 and H5N1 avian influenza viruses (AIVs) have been circulating in poultry in China and become endemic since 1998 and 2004, respectively. Currently, they are prevalent in poultry throughout China. This endemicity makes them actively involved in the emergence of the novel lineages of other subtypes of influenza viruses, such as the well-known viruses of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N2 and the 2013 novel H7N7, H7N9 and H10N8 subtypes, thereby threatening both the poultry industry and public health. Here, we will review briefly the prevalence and evolution, pathogenicity, transmission, and disease control of these two subtypes and also discuss the possibility of emergence of potentially virulent and highly transmissible AIVs to humans.

关键词: avian influenza virus     H9N2     H5N1     novel viruses     public health    

博弈的存在与实践:对多智能体博弈发展的思考 Perspective

董琦1,吴镇宇1,2,陆军1,孙凤松1,3,王锦宇1,3,杨焱煜1,尚晓舟1

《信息与电子工程前沿(英文)》 2022年 第23卷 第7期   页码 995-1001 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.2100593

摘要: 博弈是宇宙中的一种普遍存在。本文从人类对博弈的认识过程出发,探讨了博弈的存在与实践,阐述了多智能体博弈研究难点,并基于演化思想,从系统论的角度出发,提出多智能体演化博弈理论框架。以下一代预警探测系统为例,介绍了多智能体演化博弈的应用实践。构建了多智能体自组织博弈决策模型和多智能体强化学习方法,对研究高维复杂环境下的组织化、体系化博弈行为具有重要意义。

关键词: 博弈;多智能体系统;多智能体演化博弈;预警探测    

北京城市环境安全及突发重大环境灾害应急救援行动预案研究

卞有生

《中国工程科学》 2003年 第5卷 第7期   页码 1-10

摘要:

城市环境安全已成为当前环境问题的新热点。文章在分析北京当前所存在的环境不安全因素的基础上,提出北京城市环境安全及突发重大环境灾害应急行动预案研究。内容包括:北京城市环境安全研究;北京市环境灾害综合区划研究;北京市环境灾害管理决策咨询信息系统研究;北京城市气象灾害的防御及应急救援行动预案研究;应用GIS技术进行北京森林防火的研究;北京市沙尘暴的成因及防治对策研究;北京市健康安全与卫生防疫研究;北京市地震灾害防御研究;北京城市生命线系统工程的改造、完善与建设研究;北京市突发重大环境灾害应急救援行动预案编制研究;环境灾害对北京城市经济发展的影响及有关经济问题的研究。

关键词: 环境安全     环境灾害     应急救援预案    

多智能体系统的体系化和组织化博弈 Editorial

陆军1,王飞跃2,董琦1,魏庆来2

《信息与电子工程前沿(英文)》 2022年 第23卷 第7期   页码 991-994 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.2240000

摘要: Multi-agent system gaming (MASG) is widely applied in military intelligence, information networks, unmanned systems, intelligent transportation, and smart grids, exhibiting systematic and organizational characteristics. It requires the multi-agent system perceive and act in a complex dynamic environment and at the same time achieve a balance between individual interests and the maximization of group interests within the system. Some problems include complex system structure, uncertain game environment, incomplete decision information, and unexplainable results. As a result, the study of multi-agent game has transformed from a traditional simple game to a game facing a high-dimensional, continuous, and complex environment, which prompts an urgent need for institutionalized and systematized gaming (InSys gaming). With this background, several important tendencies have emerged in the development of InSys gaming for multi-agent systems:1. Analyzing the evolution law of MASG and establishing the InSys gaming theory model for multi-agent systemsThe organized and systematic MASG has orderly and structured characteristics, so it is necessary to establish a system game model. To study political, military, economic, and other systemic confrontation gaming problems, the first step is to analyze the system’s internal evolution characteristics and external interaction information. In addition, establishing the evolution model of InSys gaming and studying the elements, relationships, and criteria of the game evolution help provide theoretical support for the system design, decision-making planning, and other research in this field.2. Combining several artificial intelligence learning algorithms to achieve collaborative decision-making of multi-agent systemsThe current mainstream artificial intelligence learning methods all have application advantages in specific scenarios. In solving InSys gaming problems, we can combine the environmental representation ability of deep learning and the decision generation ability of reinforcement learning (RL). For example, by building a digital simulation training environment, intelligent decision algorithms and unsupervised training methods can be designed to generate a multi-agent system’s collaborative decision in a complex and unknown environment.3. Adopting a hierarchical task planning and decision-making action architecture to reduce the complexity of collaborative decision-making algorithmsWith the increase of the scale of multi-agent systems, the problems of node coupling, observation uncertainty, and interaction disorder faced by collaborative decision-making have become increasingly prominent. The complexity of solving its systematic and organized game problems has increased significantly. A multi-agent hierarchical algorithm architecture is constructed through game task decomposition, longterm planning, and real-time action decision-making. It can effectively reduce the complexity of the search process of a collaborative decision-making algorithm. In addition, it is a feasible idea for solving an organized and systematic game.4. Establishing the robustness analysis framework of the algorithm model to solve the model deviation between data-driven methods and the actual sceneWhen the training data deviates from the actual scene for data-driven methods, the algorithm’s performance will be degraded. Thus, it is necessary to study the robustness analysis framework of data-driven methods. For example, a robust algorithm model and an actual data fine-tuning method are designed to reduce the performance loss of the trained algorithm. This strategy helps support the actual deployment of data-driven methods.Game theory has become a basic analytical framework for solving problems in strategic politics, military confrontation, market economy, and so on. The object of analysis is characterized by complex systematization and organization and has been highly concerned with and valued by academic and industrial circles alike. A multi-agent system is used to model the organized and systematic game, combined with an artificial intelligence method to solve the game decision-making problem, providing a new idea for developing theories, methods, and technologies in this field.

多智能体协作与博弈展望:挑战、技术和应用 Perspective

刘瑜1,李徵2,姜智卓2,何友1

《信息与电子工程前沿(英文)》 2022年 第23卷 第7期   页码 1002-1009 doi: 10.1631/FITEE.2200055

摘要: 近年来,多智能体系统在解决复杂环境中各种决策问题方面取得显著进步,并已实现与人类相似甚至更好的决策性能。本文从任务挑战、技术方向和应用领域3个角度简要回顾多智能体协作和博弈相关技术。首先回顾近期多智能体系统工作中的典型研究问题和挑战,然后进一步讨论关于多智能体协作和游戏任务的前沿研究方向,最后对多智能体协作与博弈的应用领域进行重点展望。

关键词: 多智能体;博弈论;集体智能;强化学习;智能控制    

突发性特大自然灾害触发因子的发现及其物理研究方案

任振球

《中国工程科学》 2004年 第6卷 第12期   页码 1-6

摘要:

运用中华传统文化的整体思维和现代统计学、气象学、地震学原理,发现特大暴雨、台风突变和大地震临震、火山爆发等突发性特大自然灾害(均为当前公认的世界性科学难点),都是在内部条件基本具备情况下,由月亮为主的“三星一线”时的引潮力共振异常叠加而触发。用此种内外因耦合方法预测特大暴雨和大地震临震,成功率分别为727%和40%。提出了“三星一线”时是否存在引力放大和电磁力放大的系列观测实验和研制特大暴雨数值预报模式的方案。

关键词: 突发性特大自然灾害     三星一线     引潮力共振     内外因耦合     系列观测实验    

标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

Impact of household transitions on domestic energy consumption and its applicability to urban energy planning

Benachir MEDJDOUB, Moulay Larbi CHALAL

期刊论文

Endemicity of H9N2 and H5N1 avian influenza viruses in poultry in China poses a serious threat to poultry

Jiao HU,Xiufan LIU

期刊论文

博弈的存在与实践:对多智能体博弈发展的思考

董琦1,吴镇宇1,2,陆军1,孙凤松1,3,王锦宇1,3,杨焱煜1,尚晓舟1

期刊论文

北京城市环境安全及突发重大环境灾害应急救援行动预案研究

卞有生

期刊论文

多智能体系统的体系化和组织化博弈

陆军1,王飞跃2,董琦1,魏庆来2

期刊论文

多智能体协作与博弈展望:挑战、技术和应用

刘瑜1,李徵2,姜智卓2,何友1

期刊论文

突发性特大自然灾害触发因子的发现及其物理研究方案

任振球

期刊论文